articlehaul.com articlehaul.com
Search:    Index Page :> About Us :> Privacy of Info :> Terms of Use :> Add Your Link :> Submit Article   
Add Your Link
 

Self Help

Healthcare & Medicine

Education & Learning

Travel & Accommodation

Online Shopping

Adventure & Sports

Drink & Food

Research & Science

Finance & Investment

Careers & Employment

News & Media

Relationship & Lifestyle

Health & Hygiene

Family & Home

Recreation & Entertainment

Vehicles & Automotive

Art & Culture

Computers & Networking

Politics & Government

Property & Estate

Teens & Kids

Indoor Games

People & Communities

Companies & Business


 

Index Page –› Indoor Games –› Casino Play
 

Calculating Probability On The Flop In Texas Hold'em Poker

 

If you want to become a master poker player, youre going to have to brush up on your math skills. Its the unfortunate beast that comes with the beauty that is texas holdem poker. While its impossible to calculate every hands possible odds, unless youre the Rainman of course, its a good idea to get a feel for how to calculate odds on the fly in order to better educate yourself on what hands to play and when to play them.

In order to calculate probabilities in texas holdem poker, youll need to understand how that is applied to the deck of cards in play. In texas holdem poker, there are 52 cards to randomly choose from before the cards are dealt. You receive two cards out of that deck of 52 cards. The odds of receiving any card out of the deck on your first card are 1 in 52. This leaves 51 cards in the deck. Now, the odds of receiving any remaining card in the deck on your second card are 1 in 51. Therefore, if you take 52x51 and divide it by the two cards youve received, youll come up with 52 x 51 divided by 2 = 1326. All this means is that there are 1326 possible starting hand combinations that you can draw from that initial deal. Out of that 1326 possible cards you might draw, there are 169 unique possible pocket pair combinations that you can end up with on the initial deal. This means that out of every pocket pair combination from 2-2 to A-A, there are 169 possible pairs you can make. For those interested in the math: (13 pocket pairs + 78 suited cards + 78 unsuited cards = 169).

Thats the easy part. Now, the hard part comes when trying to decide whether or not your two pocket cards have better or worse odds to win in comparison to your opponents cards, without knowing what cards they might hold. Aye, theres the rub. So, the first thing you want to consider is what two pocket card combinations hold the greatest chances for success before the flop. As always, in texas holdem poker there are multiple factors to consider when choosing to play a hand, but just knowing what cards hold the greatest odds to win is a good place to start.

Your pocket cards actually lose their power depending on how many players there are at the table. For example, holding an A-A has about an 85% chance of winning if you are only playing against one other player, but the odds dramatically fall to about a 31% chance of winning if you are playing against nine other players. While theyre still the strongest pocket cards to start with, your odds of making the best hand decreases simply because more cards have already been dealt from the hand and are no longer available for you to use. Having said that, there are certain starting hands that, if you hold them, should probably be played through to the flop due to their high-win potential. The following percentages are based on play against only one other player, yet their weight holds up the same no matter how many players are at the table. The best starting hands based on their high probability of winning are, AA (85%), KK (82%), QQ (80%), JJ (78%), TT (75%), 99 (72%), 88 (69%), AK (66%), AQ (65%), AJ (64%), AT (63%), and KQ (62%). This is not to say that you will win the pot every single time with these pocket cards, but its definitely the best way to go into the flop strong.

Now, lets talk about calculating probability on the flop. There is a quick and simple way to calculate the odds of your hand catching a higher value on the flop. First you need to determine the number of outs you have to make a better hand. Outs are simply the number of cards possibly available in the remaining deck that could make the best hand possible. To calculate the outs you need to add up the number of possible cards left that would increase the value of your hand. For example, lets say your pocket cards are a Ks-6h. The flop comes down as Qs-8h-6c. You have a pair. If you wanted to calculate the odds of getting a three-of-a-kind, you would need to draw one of the two sixes. This means you have two outs available to make your hand. There are two more cards that are going to be dealt, so you would take your two outs, multiply that by two, and then multiply that by two again (or just multiply by four to keep it simple). So, your two outs multiplied by four equals eight (2x4=8). This means you have an 8% chance of drawing one of those sixes in order to make a three-of-a-kind. Not good odds.

Lets say you have the same pocket cards Ks-6h, but the flop shows Kc-8h-6c. You now have two pair and want to shoot for the full house. You would need to draw one of the two sixes or one of the two kings left in the deck. This means you have four outs available. So, you would take your four outs and multiply that by four (4x4=16). This means you have a 16% chance of making the full-house. Not good, but better.

Now, again with the pocket cards Ks-6h, but the flop shows 10s-8s-2s. You hold nothing, but are shooting for the flush. So, there are thirteen possible spades available in every hand, four of them are already shown, that leaves nine outs available. Take your nine outs and multiply that by four (9x4=36). This means you have a 36% chance of catching another spade to make the flush. Pretty good odds, but since the other players might be holding a spade as well, its probably not the greatest hand to play.

Finally, with pocket cards Ks-6h and the flop shows Kh-9h-4h. Youre obviously going to shoot for the flush, so you would need one of the nine remaining hearts (9x4=36) giving you a 36% chance of hitting the hand. However, you could also shoot for the three-of-a-kind, which means the two remaining kings would give you an additional two outs. Adding the two possible hands together would give you eleven possible outs (11x4=44). So, this means you would actually have a 44% chance of increasing your hand strength. Now, those are odds you can win some pots with. See, math isnt so hard, is it?

Remember, these are just general odds of how many times a specific card might show up next from the deck. Probability is just that, probability, not a guarantee, so dont take these calculations at their face. You still need to take into consideration how many players are still in the game, your position at the table, and the value of the pot. But, thats another lesson.

Author: William Sheehan
 
Author Bio:
William Sheehan is a renowned writer. William likes to compose articles about this field.
This article can be searched using: online casino, online casinos, best online casinos, free casino games, casino royale
 
 
 

Related Articles

 
Online Casino Black Jack
 
Understanding Different Types of Online Slot Machines
 
Online Poker Rooms Fail Basic Security Tests, Public Confidence Likely to Fall
 
Indian Casinos
 
Why Kids Who Play Chess Outperform Their Classmates - Part I
 
Poker Chips: Design and Tips
 
Hilton Happenings - December 3
 
Asian Handicap Betting
 
Casino Jackpots
 
Bingo-Popular Gambling Game With Numbers
 
 
 
 
 

Reading a Slot Machine Payout Table

Soem basic tips on reading slot machines that will help you to choose good games. - Ryan D
 

Sports Betting Online Taking Off

Everybody knows that the people of the United States are obsessed with sports. But not a lot of peop ... - Peter Portero
 

Bet on Sports Like a Pro

Sports betting is a challenging form of betting and despite its seeming lack of strategy and complet ... - Rich McHagans
 
 

Championship Season Preview 2006/07 - Colchester United

Colchester United stunned League One by winning automatic promotion last season but will find life m ... - David Walker
 

Never Bet on Big Soccer Underdogs

As almost every professional bettor will tell you, backing heavy favourites is a sure fire way to th ... - Marc Carinci
 
 
Index Page :> Privacy of Info :> Terms of Use
Copyright © 2008 www.articlehaul.com All Rights Reserved.